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Part One Research Preparation2

Chapter 1 Introduction2

1.1 Background2

1.1.1 Technical Change in Telecommunications2

Contents2

Table 1-1 Changes of Telecom Density Rate4

1.1.2 Growth of the Chinese Telecom Industry in Comparative Perspective4

List of Tables4

1.2 Core Issue and Research Goals6

1.4 Conclusion7

1.3 Research Contents and Framework7

2.1 Characteristics of Telecommunications8

Chapter 2 Literature Review8

Figure 2-1 The Relationship between N and S10

2.2 Globalization and Telecommunication Globalization12

Table 2-1 Why Go International?14

Figure 0-1 Overviews of this Book14

List of Figures14

Table 2-2 Main Cases of M A that Happened in the Telecom Field17

2.3.1 Economies of Scale and Marshall Puzzle19

2.3 Economies of Scale and Natural Monopoly19

Figure 2-2 Scale of Production Scale of Increasing Returns20

2.3.2 Natural Monopoly24

2.3.3 Telecoms and Natural Monopoly25

2.4 Barrier and Telecommunication Regulation28

Table 2-3 Comparison of Incumbent and Entrant Monthly Costs Per Loop29

2.5 Competitiveness and Competitive Advantage34

Figore 2-3 Forces Driving Industry Competition(Porter Model)36

Table 2-4 Analysis of the Structure of SWOT38

Table 2-5 Competitive Description of Three Institutions41

2.6 Conelusions44

Chapter 3 Methodology Study45

3.1 Introduction45

3.2 Single Case and Multiple Cases47

Figure 3-1 Basic Types of Designs for Case Studies48

3.3 Case Study of China Telecom49

Figure 3-2 Case Study of China Tekcom51

3.4 Conclusions52

4.1 Background54

Chapter4 Development of the Chinese Telecom Industry54

Part Two China Telecom-From Industry to Firm54

4.2 Overviews on 100-Year of History of the Chinese Telecom Industry57

Figure 4-1 Annual Value of Telecom Fixed Assets from 1952 to 1998(Billion RMB)59

4.2.1 1900~194960

Table 4-1 Events in the Chinese Telecom Industry before PRC61

4.2.2 1949~197862

Table 4-2 Events in the Chinese Telecom Industry from 1950 to 197864

Figure 4-2 Annual Changes of Telecom Turnover Rate(%) and GDP in China65

4.2.3 1978~200065

Table 4-3 The Developing Subscribers Situation71

Table 4-4 The Telecommunication Ability and Level in 200071

Table 4-5 Events in the Chinese Telecom Industry since 197872

Figure 4-3 Chinese Telecom Revenue as 210f GDP72

4.3 Conclusions74

5.1 Introduction75

Chapter 5 Reform and Reorganization75

Figure 5-1 Structure of the MPT77

Figure 5-2 Structure Chart of the MII78

5.2 Reorganization of China Telecom79

Figure 5-3 Organization of China Telecom Before 199981

Figure 5-4 Organization of China Telecom After 199982

Figure 5-5 Organization of China Mobile84

Figure 5-6 Organization of China Unicom85

Figure 5-7 Organization of China Netcom88

Figure 5-8 Organization of China Railcom89

Table 5-1 The Coverage of Southern China Telecom and Northern China Telecom90

5.3 Forces and Changes91

Figore 5-9 Telecom Regulation From the End of the 1980s to 199395

Figure 5-10 Telecom Regulation From 1994 to 199895

Figtire 5-11 Telecom Regulation From 1998 to 200196

Figure 5-12 Telecom Regulation From 2001 to 200296

5.4 Conclusions97

Table 6-1 Operation of the Telecom Service Market in China in 200098

Chapter 6 The Competitive Telecom Service Market98

6.1 Changes in Market Structure98

6.1.1 Changes in the Main Telecom Services98

Table 6-2 Operatioas of the Telecom Service Market in China in 200299

Figure 6-1 Increase of IP Phones in China Telecom101

Figure 6-2 Main Telecom Services in 2002103

6.1.2 Changes in Market Penetration103

Table 6-3 Changes in the Chinese Mobile Situation in 1999104

Table 6-4 Markets Shares of the Leading Chinese Telecom Firms106

6.2 Changes of Capabilities107

Table 6-5 Telecom Operation Revenue in Chinese Service Sectors107

Figure 6-3 Traffic and Revenue of Chinese Telecom Service Sector108

Figure 6-4 Subscribers(Million)of Fixed and Mobile Phones 1998~2003109

Table 6-6 Basic Indicators of Main Chinese Telecom Service Firms in 2001109

Figure 6-5 Three Telephone Density Rares111

Table 6-7 Capabilities of China Telecom from 1998 to 2001112

Figure 6-6 Investment of Posts and Telecoms in Chinese Main Telecom Service Firms112

Table 6-8 Subscriber Satisfaction Index to Chinese Telecom Service Firms113

6.3 Demand and Supply114

Table 6-9 Development of Chinese Telephones115

Table 6-10 Telecom Services Penetration of Some Countries in 2001116

Figure 6-7 Increasing Status of Telephone Penetration Rate from 1949 to 2000116

Figure 6-8 China Telecoms Market by Revenue119

6.4 Conclusions120

7.1.1 Regulatory Framework122

Part Three Competitive Analysis122

Chapter 7 Regulation and Competition122

7.1 Regulation and Deregulation122

7.1.2 Regulatory Contents124

7.1.3 Reregulation126

7.2 Regulation and Competition130

7.2.1 Regulation and Network Competition131

7.2.2 Tariff and ARPU135

Table 7-1 Comparing Data of the Local Tariff of Some Countries in 2000137

Table 7-2 Mobile Tariffs in Some Countries and Areas in 2000137

Table 7-3 China Telecom ARPU and Global ARPU139

Figure 7-1 The ARPU of Fixed and Mobile Phones from 2001 to 2003140

Figure 7-2 ARPU of China Mobile and China Unicom 1999~2001140

7.3 Competitive Analysis of Potter Model141

Figure 7-3 Porter Model Analysis of China Telecom142

7.4 Conclusions147

Chapter 8 Telecom Market Opening and Competition148

8.1 International Comparison148

Table 8-1 International Comparisons in Telecom Service Consumption149

Table 8-2 International Comparisons in Telecom Tariffs151

Table 8-3 International Comparisons in Telecom Investment153

Table 8-4 Telecom Investment Proportion in GDP154

Table 8-5 Telecom Investment Proportion in 2000155

Table 8-6 The Main Large Telecom Companies in the World156

Table 8-7 Comparison of Turnover per Employee158

Table 8-8 Comparison of Profit per Employee159

Table 8-9 Comparison of Capital per Employee159

Table 8-10 Comparison between China Telecom and International Telecom Firms159

Table 8-11 Catching-up Years for China Telecom162

8.2.1 The WTO and the Chinese Telecom Service Market162

8.2 The WTO and the Opening up of the Telecom Market162

Table 8-12 The Schedule of China Entering WTO163

Table 8-13 Basic Telecom Index of AIC Countries164

Figure 8-1 Calling of Chinese Fixed and Mobile Phone from 2001 to 2003165

Table 8-14 Telecom Market Opening Schedule After China Entered the WTO166

8.2.2 International Telecom Giants in China169

8.2.3 The WTO and the Barriers172

8.3 Competitive Approach175

Table 8-15 Analysis of SWOT to China Telecom176

Figure 8-2 SWOT-Strengths177

Figure 8-3 SWOT-Weakness178

Figure 8-4 SWOT-Opportunities178

Figure 8-5 SWOT-Threats178

8.4 Conclusions179

Chapter 9 Monopoly and the Competitive Position of China Telecom180

9.1 Monopoly and Competition180

9.2 Conclusions192

10.1.1 Research Interest194

10.1.2 Research Methodology194

10.1 Introduction194

Chapter 10 Conclusions and Further Research194

Part Four Research Summary194

Figure 10-1 Research Procedure195

10.2 Main Conelusions and Further Study196

Bibliography202

Appendix 1 The Development Trend of Telecom Technology213

Appendix 2 The Rise and Fall of the Iridium Company222

Appendix 3 Questionnaire（1）223

Appendix 4 Questionnaire（2）224

Appendix 5 Index of Competitiveness227

Index231